Methanol-to-gasoline market seen reaching $1.81 billion by 2030

The global methanol-to-gasoline technology market is projected to grow from $1.26 billion in 2025 to $1.81 billion by 2030, as higher oil prices and demand for low-carbon fuels boost interest in alternative gasoline production. North America led the market in 2025, while Asia-Pacific is expected to grow fastest.

Why it matters: - Methanol-to-gasoline technology is gaining traction as refiners and fuel producers look for alternatives to crude-oil-based gasoline. - The market forecast points to continued investment in synthetic fuel infrastructure and renewable methanol pathways. - Higher oil prices improve the economics of methanol-derived fuels and could make MTG projects more competitive.

What happened: - The Business Research Company released its Methanol-To-Gasoline Technology Global Market Report 2026, covering market size, trends and forecasts through 2030. - The report says the market will grow from $1.26 billion in 2025 to $1.36 billion in 2026. - The report projects the market will reach $1.81 billion by 2030, implying a 7.4% CAGR over the forecast period. - North America held the largest market share in 2025. - Asia-Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing region over the forecast period.

The details: - Methanol-to-gasoline, or MTG, converts methanol into gasoline-range hydrocarbons through catalytic chemical reactions. - MTG can use methanol produced from natural gas, coal, biomass or renewable sources. - The technology produces high-octane gasoline and offers a route to fuel diversification beyond crude oil. - The report links historic growth to stronger demand for alternative transportation fuels, energy security concerns, greater methanol availability, preference for high-octane gasoline and interest in non-crude fuel production. - The company says future growth will be supported by renewable methanol production, low-carbon fuel demand, synthetic fuel infrastructure spending, biomass and waste-derived feedstocks, and more efficient catalysts. - The report flags greater reliance on natural gas-based MTG production, more biomass-derived methanol, renewable MTG pathways, more high-octane synthetic gasoline output and new catalyst technologies as key trends. - Brent crude oil prices rose from an average of $78 per barrel in December 2023 to $89 per barrel in April 2024, a 14.1% increase, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration in January 2025. - The report covers Asia-Pacific, South East Asia, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, the Middle East and Africa. - New report features include market attractiveness scoring, TAM analysis, company scoring matrix graphics and tables, Excel-based forecasting dashboards, market hotspots infographics, key technologies and future trend analysis, and updated graphics and tables. - A free sample is available at Download a free sample of the report. - The full report is available at View the full market report.

Between the lines: - The forecast suggests MTG is moving from a niche conversion process toward a more established alternative-fuels market. - Rising crude prices appear to be one of the clearest near-term tailwinds for MTG, because they lift the price ceiling for gasoline and improve project economics. - The regional split points to a mature North American market and a faster-expanding Asian market where fuel demand and feedstock flexibility may support adoption.

What's next: - The market’s path to 2030 will likely depend on renewable methanol supply, catalyst efficiency gains and continued capital spending on synthetic fuel projects. - Regional growth will hinge on whether Asia-Pacific converts its demand growth into commercial MTG deployments. - The report indicates new monitoring areas for investors and operators, including market hotspots, TAM sizing and technology trend shifts.